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MathematicsProbabilityTotal probability/Bay's TheoremHard2 minPYQ_2023
MathematicsHardnumerical

The urnsA, BandCcontains4red,6black;5red,5black andλred,4black balls respectively. One of the urns is selected at random and a ball is drawn. If the ball drawn is red and the probability that it is drawn from urnCis0.4, then the square of length of the side of largest equilateral triangle, inscribed in the parabolay2=λxwith one vertex at vertex of parabola is

Question diagram: The urns A , B and C contains 4 red, 6 black; 5 red, 5 black
Answer:
432.00
Solution:

Let R be the event of drawing red balls.

PRA=410

PRB=510

PRC=λ4+λ

Now,

PCR=0.4

PCPRCPAPRA+PBPRB+PCPRC=410

13×λλ+413×410+13×510+13×λλ+4=410

λλ+4910+λλ+4=410

λλ+4=410910+λλ+4

5λλ+4=2910+λλ+4

5λλ+4=19λ+365λ+4

25λ=19λ+36

6λ=36

λ=6

So, parabola is

y2=6x=4×23×x

Comparing with y2=4ax, we get

a=23

Hence, we have

Let P23t2,43t

In OPQ, we have

tan30°=2atat2=2t

2t=13

t=23

Side length of triangle=4at=123

Square of side of triangle

=1232=432 units

Stream:JEESubject:MathematicsTopic:ProbabilitySubtopic:Total probability/Bay's Theorem
2mℹ️ Source: PYQ_2023

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