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Mathematics - Probability Question with Solution | TestHub

MathematicsProbabilityTotal probability/Bay's TheoremMedium2 minPYQ_2022
MathematicsMediumsingle choice

Suppose that
Box-I contains8red,3blue and5green balls,
Box-ll contains24red,9blue and15green balls,
Box-III contains1blue,12green and3yellow balls,
Box-IV contains10green,16orange and6white balls.
A ball is chosen randomly from Box-l; call this ballb. Ifbis red then a ball is chosen randomly from Box-ll, ifbis blue then a ball is chosen randomly from Box-III, and ifbis green then a ball is chosen randomly from Box-IV. The conditional probability of the event 'one of the chosen balls is white' given that the event 'at least one of the chosen balls is green' has happened, is equal to

Question diagram: Suppose that Box-I contains 8 red, 3 blue and 5 green balls,

Options:

Answer:
C
Solution:

PRed from Box I=816=12

PBlue from Box I=316

PGreen from Box I=1032=516

Now,

PGreen from Box II=1548

PGreen from Box III=1216=34

PWhite from Box IV=632=316

Event A : One of the chosen ball is white
B: At least one of the chosen ball is green

PAB=PABPB

=516×31612×1548+316×34+516×1

=552

Stream:JEE_ADVSubject:MathematicsTopic:ProbabilitySubtopic:Total probability/Bay's Theorem
2mℹ️ Source: PYQ_2022

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